Are Climate Bullies Afraid to Bet Me?


I, Mark Boslough, being of sound mind, do hereby challenge any individual or organization to a $25,000 bet that global warming is real and will continue. If the climatological average global land surface temperature goes up again in 2016, setting another new record, the party that accepts my challenge must donate $25,000 to a science education nonprofit of my choice. If not, I will donate $25,000 to a nonprofit designated by the accepting party.

Details are below. But it doesn’t matter. It’s a sucker bet. Everyone knows that global warming is real.

Those who reject mainstream climate science have a bully problem. They talk big. They Mark Boslough and Heartland Institute Expert Christopher Monckton debated the value of scientific prediction at a 2011 conference in Santa Fe.

Since I didn’t get any participation, I had the conference organizer send out a message to all attendees the following weekend: “I am soliciting probabilistic predictions for global mean surface temperature anomalies for calendar year 2012. If you wish to go on record with a prediction, please send a message… and I will provide a template and instructions for your prediction.” My invitation went to dozens of high-profile individuals who reject mainstream climate science. Not a single one replied. Unlike mainstream scientists, deniers do not go on record with testable climate forecasts.

After three more years of relentless global warming, I spearheaded an effort to get the Heartland Institute to put their money where their mouth is. As a fellow of the Committee for Skeptical Inquiry, I wrote up a $25,000 challenge stating that 2015 would set a new climate record. It was approved by the CSI board and issued last June. We heard nothing but crickets from the Heartland Institute. Apparently they were aware that 2015 was —> Read More