My Predictions for the Next 10 Years

Though it is hard to believe, 10 years ago…

• The first video was uploaded to YouTube.

• Facebook, then 1 year old, dropped the “the” from its old URL “” after acquiring “” for $200K

• An early prototype of an autonomous car completed the DARPA Grand Challenge for the first time.

• The term “Drone” meant a military weapon system

• Bitcoin & Blockchain didn’t exist, and wouldn’t be created for 3 more years.

• Android was a small startup that Google had just acquired.

• There were 6.4 billion humans on Earth, only ~1 billion were online, and none of them had heard of Uber or AirBnb.


• YouTube has more than a billion users, who watch hundreds of millions of hours of video every day. 300 hours of video are uploaded to YouTube every minute.

• Facebook has 1.4 billion users from every country on Earth.

• Every major car manufacturer is working on an autonomous model, and Google’s autonomous cars have logged over 1 million miles driving themselves.

• Drones are now used by children, can be purchased at prices ranging from $50 to $1500. The largest consumer drone company DJI (which was started in 2006) is valued at $10b.

• Bitcoin and Blockchain companies have raised hundreds of millions in venture capital and are poised to be potentially as disruptive as the Internet itself (see below).

• Google now has over 1 billion active Android users

• Today, there are close to 7.4 billion humans on Earth, ~3 billion are now on-line.

• Uber, which was started in 2009, is valued at over $40b, and AirBnb, started in 2007, valued over $20b.

These are only a few of the fun examples of exponential change from the last decade.

The question is: What will the world look like 10 years from now?

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